KBC: Austin Hughes Briefings http://www.KBC.ie/cat_economics_desk_rss.jsp?cat=4 Latest Austin Hughes Briefings Copyright KBC en-ie 60 Austin Hughes Briefings KBC Austin Hughes Briefings http://www.KBC.ie/images/kbc-bank_logo.gif http://www.KBC.ie/cat_economics_desk_rss.jsp?cat=4 <![CDATA[Economic Briefings ]]> This section includes Austin Hughes’ analysis of topical data especially with regard to interest rates and currency markets, as well as significant Irish economic developments.

For further information contact:
Austin Hughes, Chief Economist, KBC Bank Ireland 01 664 6892

02/05/2013 ECB Cuts And Suggests Further Easing Can’t Be Ruled Out
30/04/2013
Irish Population Outlook
Still Encouraging (And
Unusual By EU Standards)
Irish Population Outlook Still Encouraging (And Unusual By EU Standards)
04/04/2013 ECB Hints At Early Easing
21/03/2013 Encouraging Irish Growth Data Suggest Modest Recovery Is Continuing
07/03/2013 Mr Draghi Keeps His Options Open But Promises To Support Recovery
27/02/2013 Jobs Data Point To Improving Irish Economy
07/02/2013 ECB More Dovish As Ireland Gets Improved 'Deal'
10/01/2013 ECB Notably Less Pessimistic. So, Rate Cut Less Likely.
18/12/2012 Irish Growth Outturn For 2012 Looking Healthier
06/12/2012 ECB Open To More Easing?
05/12/2012 Budget 2013: Pain As Well As Progress
29/11/2012 Employment Data Suggest Irish Jobs Market Stabilising
08/11/2012 ECB Leaves The Door Open To Lower Interest Rates
04/10/2012 Mr Draghi Enjoys A Dull Day
27/09/2012 Small Irish Population Increase Reflects Strongly Conflicting Forces
06/09/2012 ECB Outlines Bond Buying Plan But Seems Some Distance From Action
10/08/2012 Irish Business Momentum Gradually Building
02/08/2012 ECB’s ‘Big Bazooka’ Looks Like A Small Squirt
12/07/2012 Mixed Signals Suggest Irish Economy Still ‘Bottoming Out’
05/07/2012 ECB Cuts Rates To Record Lows But Disappoints Markets
07/06/2012 Irish Jobs Data Point To Continuing Economic Weakness in Early 2012
06/06/2012 ECB Stalls But Rate Cut Coming Closer
03/05/2012 ECB In Two Minds
05/04/2012 Divided ECB To Remain On The Sidelines Until Clearer Picture Emerges
22/03/2012 Growth Data Confirm Irish Economy Is Weak But Stabilising
08/03/2012 ECB Intends to Stay On The Sidelines (And Ease Some Internal Concerns)
07/03/2012 Q4 Data Hint Irish Jobs Market May Be Stabilising
09/02/2012 Near Term ECB Rate Change Unlikely As Focus Remains On Greece And Bank Funding
12/01/2012 ECB Now Watching And Waiting
04/01/2012 Exchequer Data Suggest 2011 Budget Targets Met Despite Weaker Economy
16/12/2011 Third Quarter Data Highlight Ongoing Constraints On Irish Economic Growth
12/12/2011 Irish Jobs Data Weak But Not Entirely Unexpected
08/12/2011 ECB Cuts… and Runs?
06/12/2011 Budget 2012: Progress On A Difficult And Lengthy Adjustment Path
03/11/2011 ECB Cuts Rates And Hints At More To Come
06/10/2011 ECB Supports Liquidity But Stalls On Interest Rates
08/09/2011 Fear Reaches Frankfurt
04/08/2011 ECBs Words And Deeds Highlight Pressures And Problems
03/08/2011 Exchequer Returns Suggest Ireland Still Sticking To Its Programme in Spite of Fragile Domestic Economic Conditions
27/07/2011 Irish House Prices Continue To Tumble
07/07/2011 ECB Raises Rates 'Quietly'
30/06/2011 Ireland's Population Larger and Recent Growth Faster Than Expected
23/06/2011 Irish Economic Growth Not As Weak As Expected
22/06/2011 Irish Property Prices Fall Further In May But Dublin Increase Surprises
16/06/2011 Irish Jobs Market Still Weak But Some Modestly Encouraging Signs Emerging
09/06/2011 ECB Rate Rise Seems Certain in July
07/06/2011 Irish House Prices Continue to Fall in April
13/05/2011 New Irish House Price Measure Confirms Scale of Fall in Property Values
05/05/2011 ECB Takes A Little More Time
29/04/2011 Can The ECB Quell Global Inflation?
07/04/2011 ECB Raises Rates and Doesn't Alter Expectations of Further Increases
24/03/2011 4th Quarter Growth Data Point To Continuing Weakness In Irish Economy
15/03/2011 Irish Unemployment Revised Higher As Jobs Data Disappoint
03/03/2011 ECB Suggests Rates Will Rise in April
03/02/2011 ECB Suggests Rate Rise Is Still Some Distance Away – But Still Seems Likely in 2011
13/01/2011 ECB Signals Inflation Concern and Opens Up Rate Hike Risks
16/12/2010 Irish Growth Improves… Slightly
14/12/2010 Budget 2011 Broadly As Expected
09/12/2010 Irish Jobs Market Remains Weak
03/12/2010 ECB Opts Not To Act
24/11/2010 Irish Government Four Year Plan Removes One Uncertainty
17/11/2010 Irish Inflation: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly
04/11/2010 Business as usual at the ECB?
07/10/2010 ECB Stuck In Wait and See Mode
23/09/2010 Irish Growth Data Disappoint
21/09/2010 Irish Jobs Market Still Weak But Showing Tentative Signs Of Improvement
03/09/2010 ECB A Little More Optimistic But Rate Increases Remain Off The Agenda
05/08/2010 ECB To Bide Its Time
08/07/2010 ECB Says Little New But Sounds Slightly More Optimistic
30/06/2010 Mixed Signals Suggest Irish Economy Improving Slightly
15/06/2010 Irish Jobs Market Starting to Stabilise?
10/06/2010 ECB Unlikely To Be Radical But May Keep Rates Lower For Longer
06/05/2010 Which Way Will The ECB Jump?
08/04/2010 Its All Greek At The ECB
24/03/2010 Irish Jobs Market Remains Weak But Worst May Be Over
04/03/2010 ECB Continues On A Slow And Steady Path
02/03/2010 February Exchequer Returns Suggest Government Targets Broadly On Track
04/02/2010 ECB Bides It’s Time
14/01/2010 ECB Signals Rate Increases Not On The Horizon
17/12/2009 Irish Recession Over? Oh Yes It Is…. Oh No It Isn’t
16/12/2009 Irish Employment Continues To Shrink
09/12/2009 Budget 2010 Pain But Some Progress
04/12/2009 ECB To Remove Liquidity Early But Raise Rates Later
06/11/2009 ECB Signals Reduced Support For Banking System But Rate Hikes Still Far Away
08/10/2009 ECB Still Some Distance From The Exit Strategy
08/10/2009 Irish Consumer Prices Show Surprisingly Large Fall In September
24/09/2009 Growth Data Suggest Irish Economy Is Bottoming Out
22/09/2009 Irish Job Market Weakens and Migrants Leave
03/09/2009 Bumpy Road Means ECB In No Rush To Raise Rates
02/07/2009 Mid Year Tax Revenues Disappoint
02/07/2009 ECB To Hold Rates Steady For Some Time
30/06/2009 Growth Data Confirm Severe Irish Slowdown in Early 2009
26/06/2009 Sharp Weakening of Irish Jobs Market Confirmed
04/06/2009 ECB Suggests Enough Has Been Done
03/06/2009 May Tax Revenues It’s Good News But Not Great News
07/05/2009 ECB Cuts Again And Hints It May Not Be Finished
07/04/2009 Supplementary Budget 2009 Some More Done, A Great Deal More To Do
02/04/2009 Better to Travel Hopefully…
05/03/2009 ECB Rates Hit New Low And Will Go Lower
27/02/2009 Sharp Drop in Irish Employment Underlines Scale of Downturn
15/01/2009 ECB Cuts And Hints At Further Easing
13/01/2009 ECB Rates Set To Fall Sharply But Thursday Could Disappoint
18/12/2008 Irish Economy Softens In The Summer And Is Set To Weaken Much Further
04/12/2008 It’s Christmas, There is a Sanity Clause
21/11/2008 Pressure for Bigger ECB Rate Cut Builds
21/11/2008 Irish Job Market Shows the Strain
06/11/2008 ECB Lowers Rates and Signals Further Cuts to Come

]]> Sat, 01 Jan 2000 00:00:00 GMT http://www.KBC.ie/cat_economics_desk.jsp?i=119&p=102&n=122 <![CDATA[KBC Bank Ireland / ESRI Consumer Sentiment Survey ]]> Consumer spending is an important element of economic activity. The National Income and Expenditure Accounts (2009) show that in 2009 the value of personal consumption accounted for about two thirds of Irish GNP. Trends in this component are therefore very important for forecasting and planning. In the US, measures of consumer confidence by the University of Michigan and the Conference Board receive much attention, both domestically within the US but also internationally.

Such indicators have a broader use than solely as an input to model based forecasts. They provide some barometer of consumer sentiment and thus are an additional piece of information that may be used by those analysing, or interested in, the health of the economy.  The KBC Bank Ireland/ESRI Index of consumer sentiment aims to fill the existing gap in information on the consumer sector. The Index uses monthly data collected by the ESRI and is constructed using a methodology based on international best practice.

LINK TO METHODOLOGY

For further information contact:

Austin Hughes, Chief Economist, KBC Bank Ireland 01 664 6892

David Duffy, Economist, ESRI (01) 863 2000 www.esri.ie

 

10/05/2013 Sentiment Data Suggests Irish Consumers Still Uncertain
08/04/2013 Irish Consumer Sentiment Holds Steady As Contrasting Influences Balance Out
05/03/2013 Irish Consumers Remain Cautious In February
11/02/2013 Irish Consumer Sentiment Recovers In January
11/01/2013 Budget Worries Prompt Sharp Fall In Irish Consumer Sentiment
03/12/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Shows Small And Surprising Increase In November
31/10/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Stabilises After Last Month's Slide
02/10/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Falls Sharply In September
28/08/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Continues To Improve
09/08/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Surprisingly Strong in July
04/07/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Edges Higher In June
11/06/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Slips in May
08/05/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Edges Higher in April
11/04/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Slightly Better Again In March
01/03/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Holds Steady in February
31/01/2012 Irish Consumers Slightly Less Worried In January
09/01/2012 Irish Consumer Sentiment Tumbles In December
02/12/2011 Consumer Sentiment Drops Modestly But Hints At Slight Easing In Gloom
15/11/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Shows Shock Improvement In October
29/09/2011 Irish Consumers Gloomier In September
06/09/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Surprisingly Stable In August
10/08/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Slightly Weaker Again In July
28/06/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Slips In June
08/06/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Improves Modestly in May
09/05/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Falls Modestly in April
13/04/2011 Sharp Rise In Irish Consumer Sentiment In March
08/03/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Surprises Again In February
01/02/2011 Surprise Improvement in Irish Consumer Sentiment in January
12/01/2011 Irish Consumer Sentiment Slides In December
30/11/2010 Steady Irish Consumer Sentiment In November A Positive Surprise
02/11/2010 Irish Consumers Gloomier Again In October
07/10/2010 Irish Consumer Sentiment Sharply Weaker In September
07/09/2010 Irish Consumers Grow Gloomier in August
09/08/2010 Irish Consumer Sentiment Slips in July
29/06/2010 Irish Consumer Sentiment Strengthens In June
01/06/2010 Irish Consumer Sentiment Holds Steady In May
12/05/2010 Irish Consumers Less Gloomy Again In April
12/04/2010 Irish Consumer Sentiment Improves Modestly in March
02/03/2010 Consumer Sentiment Slips In February
08/02/2010 Sharp Improvement in Irish Consumer Sentiment in January
11/01/2010 Consumers Still Cautious But Slightly Less Pessimistic At End 2009
07/12/2009 Irish Consumer Sentiment Broadly Steady In November
04/11/2009 Irish Consumer Sentiment Better Than Expected In October
01/10/2009 Consumer Sentiment Slightly Better in September
07/09/2009 Consumer Sentiment Broadly Stable in August
29/07/2009 Irish Consumer Sentiment Slides In July
29/06/2009 Irish Consumer Sentiment Jumps In June
02/06/2009 Irish Consumer Sentiment Edges Lower In May
01/05/2009 Irish Consumer Sentiment Improves Slightly In April
06/04/2009 Irish Consumers Still Down But Not Out
26/02/2009 Consumer Fears Worsen In February
28/01/2009 Irish consumer sentiment slips in January
08/01/2009 Consumer Mood Brightens Before Christmas
28/11/2008 Irish Consumers Down But Not Entirely Out In November
03/11/2008 Irish Consumer Sentiment Fell Modestly In October

]]> Sat, 01 Jan 2000 00:00:00 GMT http://www.KBC.ie/cat_economics_desk.jsp?i=123&p=102&n=122 <![CDATA[KBC Bank Ireland / Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey ]]> The KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey reflects the views of chartered accountants working in senior positions (CEO’s, MD’s and FDs) in Ireland’s leading companies.

It looks beyond headline figures to give a deeper understanding on how the Irish economy is performing, identifies emerging risks to Irish businesses and provides a significant platform for accountants to voice their concerns on the Irish economy

For further information contact:
Austin Hughes, Chief Economist, KBC Bank Ireland 01 664 6892

27/03/2013 Spring 2013 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Activity Improves In First Quarter As Debt Deal Boosts Confidence
17/12/2012 Winter 2012 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Ends 2012 On A Strong Note
24/10/2012 Autumn 2012 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Making Slow Progress As Uncertainty Hits Activity
02/08/2012 Summer 2012 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Momentum Gradually Building
25/04/2012 Spring 2012 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Activity On Improving Trend in Early 2012
21/12/2011 Winter 2011 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey:Euro Worries Weigh On Irish Business But Budget Wins Some Support
02/11/2011 Autumn 2011 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business In ‘Economic Limbo’
20/07/2011 Summer 2011 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Economy Hitting A Soft Patch?
07/04/2011 Spring 2011 KBC Bank Ireland/Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Some Positive Signs But Recovery Remains Uneven
29/12/2010 Winter 2010 KBC Bank Ireland Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Both Growing And Slowing At End 2010
20/10/2010 Autumn 2010 KBC Bank Ireland Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: A Tale of Two Economies: Irish Business Expects Modest Growth But Confidence Sharply Lower
13/07/2010 Summer 2010 KBC Bank Ireland Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Economy Growing Again as ‘Feel Bad’ Factor Fades…But ‘Feel good’ Still Some Distance Away
07/04/2010 Spring 2010 KBC Bank Ireland Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Outlook Slightly Brighter
21/12/2009 Winter 2009 KBC Bank Ireland Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Budget Boosts Irish Business Confidence
21/10/2009 Autumn 2009 KBC Bank Ireland Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Irish Business Becoming Less Gloomy
14/07/2009 Summer 2009 KBC Bank Ireland Institute of Chartered Accountants in Ireland Summer Business Sentiment Survey: Has Business Bottomed Out?
30/03/2009 Spring 2009 KBC Bank Ireland Institute of Chartered Accountants in Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: Some Faint Glimmers In The Gloom

23/12/2008

 Winter 2008 KBC Bank Ireland Chartered Accountants of Ireland Business Sentiment Survey: 2008 Ends On A Weak Note

]]> Sat, 01 Jan 2000 00:00:00 GMT http://www.KBC.ie/cat_economics_desk.jsp?i=121&p=102&n=122 <![CDATA[Ad Hoc Presentations and Seminars]]> Presentations, speeches and seminars thought to be relevant and topical.

For further information contact:
Austin Hughes, Chief Economist, KBC Bank Ireland 01 664 6892

01/05/2012 KBC Economists Conference 2012:  External Imbalances; Will Euro area Policymakers Make Things Worse Rather Than Better? Paper
21/04/2011 KBC Economists Conference 2011: EMU: What Has Changed, What Still Has To Change? Paper
18/04/2011 KBC Economists Conference 2011: How Threatening is the Global Inflation Outlook? Paper
15/04/2011 How Far From A Turn Presentation Presentation
21/03/2011 Economic Review For The Dublin Chamber Magazine Article
14/11/2010 KBC Bank Ireland/Sunday Independent Cost Of Living Survey: Irish Inflation: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly Article
16/05/2010 KBC Bank Ireland/Sunday Independent Cost Of Living Survey: Putting The Brakes On Rising Prices Helped To Ease The Pain Article
22/04/2010 KBC Economists Conference 2010: Lessons From the Crisis Paper
25/02/2010 Outlook For The Irish Financial Services Sector Paper
11/10/2009 KBC Bank Ireland/Sunday Independent Cost Of Living Survey: Prices Are Falling Why Arent We Happy Article
26/05/2009 To the OSCE Economic Forum Speech
08/03/2009 KBC Bank Ireland/Sunday Independent Cost Of Living Survey: March 2009 Article Article
26/09/2008 KBC Bank Ireland/Sunday Independent Cost Of Living Survey: Do Aldi Do Armani Article
24/02/2008 KBC Bank Ireland/Sunday Independent Cost Of Living Survey: No Country For Old Men Article

]]> Sat, 01 Jan 2000 00:00:00 GMT http://www.KBC.ie/cat_economics_desk.jsp?i=122&p=102&n=122